"February 16, 2011 -- The calm before the storm. Three CMEs are enroute, all a part of the Radio Blackout events on February 13, 14, and 15 (UTC). The last of the three seems to be the fastest and may catch both of the forerunners about mid to late day tomorrow, February 17. Watch this space for updates on the impending -- G2, possibly periods of G3 -- geomagnetic storming.
Watch Today's Space Weather for the most recent activity. LINK: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
This is not intended to scare you, but recently the sun erupted with a very large, powerful 'Class X' solar flare. As I write and you read this, energy from the sun is hurling towards earth...Energy which will precipitate what is known as a 'Geomagnetic Storm'.
NOAA's scale for Geomagnetic Storms can be found here: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/index.html
Do you see that green bar on the graph above? That indicates that the expected date of the 'storm's' arrival is somewhere around Feb 18-20.
I say, be aware of the possibility of sooner activity on earth starting now and take care if you live in 'danger areas' prone to earthquakes, flooding, volcanic activity and the like.
(It is just my opinion that NOAA and NASA's timing predictions are often a little late, for what it's worth.)
I pray not much comes of this, but we are currently in a period of 'Solar Minimum' which means that solar activity is (theoretically) fewer and far between, but more intense when the sun DOES act up.
See the graph below, which represents the 'energy' sent out by the recent massive X flare:
All Geomagnetic storms are not considered equal, because different kinds of energy can manifest in different storms or even within the same storm at different or the same time.
To illustrate this, look at the graph below which is a graph of the 'Planetary K Index' (the Kp Index), which is an index by which geomagnetic storms are measured.
The above graph is also correlated to 'aurora activity' in the northern hemisphere. The rule is, generally, the higher the Kp index, the more brilliant the auroras sighted.
'The Observed Hemispheric Auroral Power Input' is the 1-10 scale on which auroral power input (i.e. the energy hitting the earth from the sun) is measured.
This can be visualized in the graphic below:
A quick examination of the 'Warnings' Chart on the top of this page reveals that we are to expect a Geomagnetic Storm on earth with potentially many or ALL the types of energy known to emanate from the sun, which can impact earth.
This includes ionizing radiation such as x-rays, gamma rays, UV rays....as well as radio waves, electrical energy plus proton energy which we will take a look at below.
Here is a graph of 'Proton Flux' currently affecting space and earth at this time:
Now, this 'proton flux' elevation is not good. In fact, since I've started my Tutorials here (click on index keyword 'Tutorials' at the bottom of this article), I haven't seen a fluctuation such as this.
(But then again, I don't follow space weather for a living, but only discuss it when it has Biblical relevence, when there are safety concerns for the people of the world and when scientific curiosity piques my interest.)
The bottom-line is that the expected Geomagnetic Storm will produce severe weather events and likely earth-based movements, eruptions and disruptions.
According to our friends at NOAA, once again:
"February 16, 2011 -- The calm before the storm. Three CMEs are en route, all a part of the Radio Blackout events on February 13, 14, and 15 (UTC). The last of the three seems to be the fastest and may catch both of the forerunners about mid to late day tomorrow, February 17. Watch this space for updates on the impending -- G2, possibly periods of G3 -- geomagnetic storming.
Watch Today's Space Weather for the most recent activity.
There could be radio black-outs, radiation showers, unstable weather with tornadoes and, as I've discussed in my Tutorials, attendant earthquakes and the like.
It is not routinely discussed for some reason, but Geomagnetic Storms affect the earth's magnetic field. THIS is what prompts seismic, volcanic and other 'inner earth-related' movement, often with powerful effect, in case you didn't realize this, along with severe weather.
Here is a chart of fluctuations in the earth's magnetic field as it correlates to the rest of the data discussed here, so you can check it out for yourself as time goes on:
As I said, there's no need to panic, but do check these links and here for further updates.
Of course, our 'measuring, warning and communication' systems are dependent upon satellites, but solar energy (see proton map) can 'knock out', block, or 'black-out' satellites and their signals.
So, as ever, real-time observations by trained meteorologists, astronomers, and nerds of all sorts will be as necessary as ever.
God Bless You & Your Loved Ones-May He Keep You Safe!
Reverend Barbara Sexton
"The Biblical Biochemist-Where Science Meets the Cross"